Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.070471 0.082454 0.095812 0.111801 0.130416 0.151403 0.176862
2025-09-14 0.051642 0.067174 0.086344 0.111722 0.144430 0.185164 0.239770
2025-09-21 0.039769 0.056109 0.077911 0.109089 0.152509 0.210835 0.295183
2025-09-28 0.031702 0.047830 0.070776 0.105739 0.157630 0.231793 0.345909
2025-10-05 0.027468 0.043907 0.068626 0.108403 0.170753 0.264722 0.417203
2025-10-12 0.023819 0.040098 0.065817 0.109271 0.180785 0.293789 0.486033
2025-10-19 0.020833 0.036769 0.063110 0.109639 0.189691 0.321745 0.556261
2025-10-26 0.018631 0.034353 0.061447 0.111312 0.200686 0.354073 0.637456
2025-11-02 0.017055 0.032757 0.060889 0.114683 0.214839 0.393174 0.734967
2025-11-09 0.014719 0.029399 0.056696 0.110838 0.215377 0.408169 0.790835
2025-11-16 0.013179 0.027313 0.054532 0.110414 0.222069 0.434898 0.871464
2025-11-23 0.011792 0.025315 0.052248 0.109393 0.227362 0.459415 0.950567
2025-11-30 0.010900 0.024234 0.051683 0.111852 0.240134 0.500431 1.068651
2025-12-07 0.009772 0.022485 0.049526 0.110726 0.245406 0.527133 1.161053
2025-12-14 0.008650 0.020581 0.046773 0.107923 0.246689 0.545654 1.238388
2025-12-21 0.007635 0.018764 0.043958 0.104573 0.246274 0.560396 1.309175
2025-12-28 0.007165 0.018159 0.043780 0.107201 0.259686 0.606940 1.457140
2026-01-04 0.006626 0.017304 0.042904 0.108058 0.269057 0.645445 1.591292
2026-01-11 0.006113 0.016438 0.041885 0.108422 0.277275 0.682209 1.725851
2026-01-18 0.005723 0.015829 0.041412 0.110077 0.288866 0.728303 1.888848
2026-01-25 0.005451 0.015496 0.041589 0.113410 0.305119 0.787619 2.092224
2026-02-01 0.004867 0.014224 0.039170 0.109608 0.302389 0.799329 2.175202
2026-02-08 0.004493 0.013484 0.038064 0.109188 0.308584 0.834501 2.324086